Fewer assignments after strong years
Although rates continue to rise, the number of assignments paints a different picture. After a strong 2022 and a powerful start to 2023, the volume of assignments is clearly declining. At the beginning of 2023, nearly 1,200 assignments were posted, while 2025 started with approximately 795 assignments. This decline continues throughout the year. In the fourth quarter of 2025, the number of assignments will be 424.
The index figures from the Talent Monitor show the same downward trend. Demand remains, but organizations are placing fewer assignments than in the peak years.

Source: CBS, compiled and analyzed by the Intelligence Group
Explanation for the decline
There are several factors that explain this development. Government organizations are tightening their hiring policies and taking a more critical look at their external hiring. Budget constraints also play a role. Some projects are starting later or being temporarily postponed. However, this does not mean that the need for expertise is disappearing. On the contrary, many programs within the central government remain dependent on specialized knowledge in the fields of IT, organization, and policy.
As a result, the challenge is shifting from volume to targeted deployment. It is less about the number of assignments and more about finding exactly the right expertise.
Strategic management of scarce knowledge
The combination of rising rates and a tighter supply of professionals calls for strategic planning. Assess your capacity requirements in good time, plan ahead, and ensure you know where expertise is needed and when. Also, remain flexible in the way you deploy external expertise. Some assignments require temporary specialist knowledge. Other projects benefit from longer-term collaboration with experienced professionals.
Talent Monitor: insight into a changing market
The Talent Monitor, a joint publication by HeadFirst Group and Intelligence Group, charts these developments every quarter. The data shows how demand, rates, and available expertise are developing within different sectors.
For the central government, our research confirms a clear picture. IT and consulting profiles remain scarce. Rates have been rising for several years in a row and the number of assignments is declining. This means that strategic use of external expertise is becoming increasingly important. Those who understand the market well and anticipate changes in a timely manner will remain able to successfully implement important programs and projects.


